Paper Number	Author	Title
23-006	Harold L. Cole, Thomas F. Cooley	Rating Agencies
23-005	Eugenia Andreasen, Sofıa Bauducco, Evangelina Dardati, Enrique G. Mendoza	Beware the Side Effects: Capital Controls, Trade, Misallocation andWelfare
23-004	Franz Hamann, Juan Camilo Mendez-Vizcaino, Enrique G. Mendoza, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria	Natural Resources and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies: A Curse and a Blessing
23-003	Enrique G. Mendoza, Vincenzo Quadrini	Unstable Prosperity: How Globalization Made the World Economy More Volatile
23-002	Shanglyu Deng, Hanming Fang, Qiang Fu, Zenan Wu	Information Favoritism and Scoring Bias in Contests
23-001	Nicolas Pazos , Marta Favara, Alan Sánchez, Douglas Scott, Jere R. Behrman	Long-term effects of rainfall shocks on foundational cognitive skills: Evidence from Peru
22-032	Alan Sánchez, Marta Favara, Margaret Sheridan, Jere R. Behrman	How early nutrition and foundational cognitive skills interconnect? Evidence from two developing countries
22-031	Hanming Fang, Ming Li, Zenan Wu	Tournament-Style Political Competition and Local Protectionism: Theory and Evidence from China
22-030	Emilio Borghesan, Hugo Reis, Petra Todd	Learning Through Repetition? A Dynamic Evaluation of Grade Retention in Portugal
22-029	Richard T. Baillie, Francis X. Diebold, George Kapetanios, Kun Ho Kim	A New Test for Market Efficiency and Uncovered Interest Parity
22-028	Francis X. Diebold, Maximilian Gobel, Philippe Goulet Coulombe	Assessing and Comparing Fixed-Target Forecasts of Arctic Sea Ice: Glide Charts for Feature-Engineered Linear Regression and Machine Learning Models
22-027	Petra Todd, Weilong Zhang	Distributional Effects of Local Minimum Wages: A Spatial Job Search Approach
22-026	Christian Aleman, Christopher Busch, Alexander Ludwig, Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis	A Stage-Based Identification of Policy Effects
22-025	Ivan Luzardo-Luna	Regional Employment Polarization in a Time of Crisis: The case of Interwar Britain
22-024	Jennifer Lopez, Jere R. Behrman, Santiago Cueto, Marta Favara, Alan Sánchez	Late-childhood foundational cognitive skills predict educational outcomes through adolescence and into young adulthood: evidence from Ethiopia and Peru
22-023	Dirk Krueger, Harald Uhlig	Neoclassical Growth with Limited Commitment
22-022	Richard Freund, Marta Favara, Catherine Porter, Jere R. Behrman	Social protection and foundational cognitive skills during adolescence: evidence from a large Public Works Programme
22-021	Hanming Fang, Long Wang, Yang Yang	Housing Wealth and Online Consumer Behavior: Evidence from Xiong'an New Area in China
22-020	Hanming Fang, Jing Wu, Rongjie Zhang, Li-An Zhou	Anti-Corruption Campaign and the Resurgence of the SOEs in China: Evidence from the Real Estate Sector
22-019	Douglas Scott, Jennifer Lopez, Alan Sánchez, Jere R. Behrman	The impact of the JUNTOS conditional cash transfer programme on foundational cognitive skills: Does age of enrollment matter?
22-018	Juuso Toikka, Akhil Vohra, Rakesh Vohra	Bayesian Persuasion: Reduced Form Approach
22-017	Harold L. Cole, Daniel Neuhann, Guillermo Ordonez	Information Spillovers and Sovereign Debt: Theory Meets the Eurozone Crisis
22-016	Vikesh Amin, Jere R. Behrman, Jason M. Fletcher, Carlos A. Flores, Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, Hans-Peter Kohler	Does Schooling Improve Cognitive Abilities at Older Ages: Causal Evidence from Nonparametric Bounds
22-015	Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, David Dillenberger, Pietro Ortoleva	Caution and Reference Effects
22-014	Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner, Karen A. Kopecky	Substance Abuse during the Pandemic: Implications for Labor-Force Participation
22-013	Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler	Economic Theories and Their Dueling Interpretations
22-012	Richard T. Baillie, Francis X. Diebold, George Kapetanios, Kun Ho Kim, Aaron Mora	On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression
22-011	Francis X. Diebold, Glenn Rudebusch, Maximilian Gobel, Boyuan Zhang	When Will Arctic Sea Ice Disappear? Projections of Area, Extent, Thickness, and Volume
22-010	Thanh Nguyen, Rakesh Vohra	(Near) Substitute Preferences and Equilibria with Indivisibilities
22-009	Aislinn Bohren, Peter Hull, Alex Imas	Systemic Discrimination: Theory and Measurement
22-008	Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler	Economic Theory: Economics, Methods and Methodology
22-007	Cristina Arellano, Xavier Mateos-Planas, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull	Partial Default
22-006	Zhesheng Qiu, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull	Procyclical Productivity in New Keynesian Models
22-005	Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner, Karen A. Kopecky	The Downward Spiral
22-004	Kevin He, Fedor Sandomirskiy, Omer Tamuz	Private Private Information
22-003	Daniel Clark, Drew Fudenberg, Kevin He	Observability, Dominance, and Induction in Learning Models
22-002	Francis X. Diebold, Maximilian Gobel	A Benchmark Model for Fixed-Target Arctic Sea Ice Forecasting
22-001	Francis X. Diebold	Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Entering and Exiting the Pandemic Recession of 2020
21-029	Victor Amelkin, Santosh Venkatesh, Rakesh Vohra	Contagion and Equilibria in Diversified Financial Networks
21-028	Hanming Fang, Xincheng Qiu	“Golden Ages”: A Tale of the Labor Markets in China and the United States
21-027	Artem Kuriksha	An Economy of Neural Networks: Learning from Heterogeneous Experiences
21-026	Justine Herve, Subha Mani, Jere R. Behrman, Arindam Nandi, Anjana Sankhil Lamkang, Ramanan Laxminarayan	Gender Gaps in Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills among Adolescents in India
21-025	Jere R. Behrman, Susan Parker, Petra Todd, Weilong Zhang	Prospering through Prospera: CCT Impacts on Educational Attainment and Achievement in Mexico
21-024	Cung Truong Hoang, Vikesh Amin, Jere R. Behrman, Hans-Peter Kohler, Illiana V. Kohler	Heterogenous Trajectories in Physical, Mental and Cognitive Health among Older Americans: Roles of Genetics and Earlier SES
21-023	Hanming Fang, Dirk Krueger	The Affordable Care Act After a Decade: Its Impact on the Labor Market and the Macro Economy
21-022	Hanming Fang, Ming Li	Red Scare? A Study of Ethnic Prejudice in the Prosecutions under the Economic Espionage Act
21-021	Krishna Dasaratha, Kevin He	Aggregative Efficiency of Bayesian Learning in Networks
21-020	Kevin He, Jonathan Libgober	Evolutionarily Stable (Mis)specifications: Theory and Applications
21-019	Cuimin Ba, Alice Gindin	A Multi-Agent Model of Misspecified Learning with Overconfidence
21-018	Cuimin Ba	Robust Model Misspecification and Paradigm Shifts