Paper Number Author Title
22-018 Juuso Toikka, Akhil Vohra, Rakesh Vohra Bayesian Persuasion: Reduced Form Approach
22-017 Harold L. Cole, Daniel Neuhann, Guillermo Ordonez Information Spillovers and Sovereign Debt: Theory Meets the Eurozone Crisis
22-016 Vikesh Amin, Jere R. Behrman, Jason M. Fletcher, Carlos A. Flores, Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, Hans-Peter Kohler Does Schooling Improve Cognitive Abilities at Older Ages: Causal Evidence from Nonparametric Bounds
22-015 Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, David Dillenberger, Pietro Ortoleva Caution and Reference Effects
22-014 Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner, Karen A. Kopecky Substance Abuse during the Pandemic: Implications for Labor-Force Participation
22-013 Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler Economic Theories and Their Dueling Interpretations
22-012 Richard T. Baillie, Francis X. Diebold, George Kapetanios, Kun Ho Kim, Aaron Mora On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression
22-011 Francis X. Diebold, Glenn Rudebusch, Maximilian Gobel, Boyuan Zhang When Will Arctic Sea Ice Disappear? Projections of Area, Extent, Thickness, and Volume
22-010 Thanh Nguyen, Rakesh Vohra (Near) Substitute Preferences and Equilibria with Indivisibilities
22-009 Aislinn Bohren, Peter Hull, Alex Imas Systemic Discrimination: Theory and Measurement
22-008 Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler Economic Theory: Economics, Methods and Methodology
22-007 Cristina Arellano, Xavier Mateos-Planas, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull Partial Default
22-006 Zhesheng Qiu, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull Procyclical Productivity in New Keynesian Models
22-005 Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner, Karen A. Kopecky The Downward Spiral
22-004 Kevin He, Fedor Sandomirskiy, Omer Tamuz Private Private Information
22-003 Daniel Clark, Drew Fudenberg, Kevin He Observability, Dominance, and Induction in Learning Models
22-002 Francis X. Diebold, Maximilian Gobel A Benchmark Model for Fixed-Target Arctic Sea Ice Forecasting
22-001 Francis X. Diebold Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Entering and Exiting the Pandemic Recession of 2020
21-029 Victor Amelkin, Santosh Venkatesh, Rakesh Vohra Contagion and Equilibria in Diversified Financial Networks
21-028 Hanming Fang, Xincheng Qiu “Golden Ages”: A Tale of the Labor Markets in China and the United States
21-027 Artem Kuriksha An Economy of Neural Networks: Learning from Heterogeneous Experiences
21-026 Justine Herve, Subha Mani, Jere R. Behrman, Arindam Nandi, Anjana Sankhil Lamkang, Ramanan Laxminarayan Gender Gaps in Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills among Adolescents in India
21-025 Jere R. Behrman, Susan Parker, Petra Todd, Weilong Zhang Prospering through Prospera: CCT Impacts on Educational Attainment and Achievement in Mexico
21-024 Cung Truong Hoang, Vikesh Amin, Jere R. Behrman, Hans-Peter Kohler, Illiana V. Kohler Heterogenous Trajectories in Physical, Mental and Cognitive Health among Older Americans: Roles of Genetics and Earlier SES
21-023 Hanming Fang, Dirk Krueger The Affordable Care Act After a Decade: Its Impact on the Labor Market and the Macro Economy
21-022 Hanming Fang, Ming Li Red Scare? A Study of Ethnic Prejudice in the Prosecutions under the Economic Espionage Act
21-021 Krishna Dasaratha, Kevin He Aggregative Efficiency of Bayesian Learning in Networks
21-020 Kevin He, Jonathan Libgober Evolutionarily Stable (Mis)specifications: Theory and Applications
21-019 Cuimin Ba, Alice Gindin A Multi-Agent Model of Misspecified Learning with Overconfidence
21-018 Cuimin Ba Robust Model Misspecification and Paradigm Shifts
21-017 Hanming Fang, Xiaoyan Lei, Julie Shi, Lisa Xuejie Yi Physician-Induced Demand: Evidence from China’s Drug Price Zero-Markup Policy
21-016 Xiaoying Liu, Huazhang Miao, Jere R. Behrman, Emily Hannum, Zhijiang Liang, Qingguo Zhao The Asian Games, Air Pollution and Birth Outcomes in South China: an Instrumental Variable Approach
21-015 Roberto Mariano, Suleyman Ozmucur Fighting COVID-19: Patterns in International Data, Expanded
21-014 Yuanyuan Deng, Hanming Fang, Katja Hanewald, Shang Wu Delay the Pension Age or Adjust the Pension Benefit? Implications for Labor Supply and Individual Welfare in China
21-013 Alan Heston, D.S. Prasada Rao Price Levels, Size, Distribution and Growth of the World Economy: Insights from recent International Comparisons of Prices and Real Product
21-012 Juan Pablo Atal, Jose Ignacio Cuesta, Felipe Gonzalez, Cristobal Otero The Economics of the Public Option: Evidence from Local Pharmaceutical Markets
21-011 Harold L. Cole, Daniel Neuhann, Guillermo Ordonez Information Spillovers in Sovereign Debt Markets
21-010 Jere R. Behrman, Le Thuc Duc Adolescent Cognitive Gender Gaps Reflect Differential Dynamic Associations with Undernutrition and Poverty in Preschool and Preadolescent Ages
21-009 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde Cryptocurrencies and All That: Two Ideas from Monetary Economics
21-008 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde Has Machine Learning Rendered Simple Rules Obsolete?
21-007 Justine Herve, Subha Mani, Jere R. Behrman, Arindam Nandi, Anjana Sankhil Lamkang, Ramanan Laxminarayan Gender Gaps in Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills: Roles of SES and Gender Attitudes
21-006 David Dillenberger, Uzi Segal Allocation Mechanisms Without Reduction
21-005 Aislinn Bohren, Daniel Hauser Learning with Heterogeneous Misspecified Models: Characterization and Robustness
21-004 Andreas Georgiadis, Liza Benny, Paul Dornan, Jere R. Behrman Maternal Undernutrition in Adolescence and Child Human Capital Formation over the Life-Course: Evidence from an International Cohort Study
21-003 Wayne Yuan Gao , Andrew Postlewaite, Holger Sieg Using Monotonicity Restrictions to Identify Models with Partially Latent Covariates
21-002 Francis X. Diebold, Minchul Shin, Boyuan Zhang On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone Inflation and Real Interest Rates
21-001 Xiaoying Liu, Jere R. Behrman, Emily Hannum, Fan Wang, Qingguo Zhao Same environment, stratified impacts? Air pollution, extreme temperatures, and birth weight in south China
20-041 Enrique G. Mendoza, Eugenio Rojas, Linda L. Tesar, Jing Zhang A Macroeconomic Model of Healthcare Saturation, Inequality & the Output-Pandemia Tradeoff
20-040 Roberto Mariano, Suleyman Ozmucur Fighting COVID-19: Performance of Countries in the First Half of 2020
20-039 Frank Schorfheide, Dongho Song Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic