Working Papers

Paper Number Author Title
20-013 Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, Irina Popova Should Germany Have Built a New Wall?Macroeconomic Lessons from the 2015-18 Refugee Wave
20-012 Francis X. Diebold, Maximilian Gobel, Philippe Goulet Coulombe, Glenn Rudebusch, Boyuan Zhang Optimal Combination of Arctic Sea Ice Extent Measures: A Dynamic Factor Modeling Approach
20-011 Hanming Fang, Long Wang, Yang Yang Human Mobility Restrictions and the Spread of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China
20-010 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde Simple Rules for a Complex World with Artificial Intelligence
20-009 Juan Pablo Atal, Hanming Fang, Martin Karlsson, Nicolas Ziebarth Long-Term Health Insurance: Theory Meets Evidence
20-008 Hanming Fang, Yongqin Wang, Xian Wu The Collateral Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from China
20-007 Vikesh Amin, Jere R. Behrman, Jason M. Fletcher, Carlos A. Flores, Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, Hans-Peter Kohler Mental Health, Schooling Attainment and Polygenic Scores: Are There Significant Genetic-Environmental Associations
20-006 Paul Anand, Jere R. Behrman, Hai-Anh H. Dang, Sam Jones Does sorting matter for learning inequality? Evidence from East Africa
20-005 Jere R. Behrman, Yuan Hu, Junsen Zhang The Causal Effects of Parents’ Schooling on Children’s Schooling in Urban Chin
20-004 Jere R. Behrman, C. Simon Fan, Xiandong Wei, Hongliang Zhang, Junsen Zhang After-School Tutoring, Household Substitution and Student Achievement: Experimental Evidence from Rural China
20-003 Mark Aguiar, Satyajit Chatterjee , Harold L. Cole, Zachary Stangebye Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises, Revisited
20-002 Harold L. Cole, Dirk Krueger, George J. Mailath, Yena Park Coalition-Proof Risk Sharing Under Frictions
20-001 Francis X. Diebold, Glenn Rudebusch Probability Assessments of an Ice-Free Arctic: Comparing Statistical and Climate Model Projections
19-020 Juan Pablo Atal Lock-in in Dynamic Health Insurance Contracts: Evidence from Chile
19-019 Hanming Fang, Andrew Shephard Household Labor Search, Spousal Insurance, and Health Care Reform
19-018 George J. Mailath, Larry Samuelson Learning under Diverse World Views: Model-Based Inference
19-017 Juan Pablo Atal, Jose Ignacio Cuesta, Morten Sæthre Quality Regulation and Competition: Evidence from Pharmaceutical Markets
19-016 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Federico Mandelman, Yang Yu, Francesco Zanetti Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy
19-015 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Samuel Hurtado, Galo Nuno Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution
19-014 Michael Cai, Marco Del Negro, Edward Herbst, Ethan Matlin, Reca Sarfati, Frank Schorfheide Online Estimation of DSGE Models
19-013 Andrew Shephard, Modibo Sidibe Schooling Investment, Mismatch, and Wage Inequality
19-012 Francis X. Diebold, Glenn Rudebusch On the Evolution of U.S. Temperature Dynamics
19-011 Paolo Martellini, Guido Menzio, Ludo Visschers Revisiting the Hypothesis of High Discounts and High Unemployment
19-010 Aislinn Bohren, Kareem Haggag, Alex Imas, Devin Pope Inaccurate Statistical Discrimination
19-009 Hanming Fang, Linke Hou, Mingxing Liu, Lixin Colin Xu, Pengfei Zhang Factions, Local Accountability, and Long-Term Development: Theory and Evidence
19-008 Takuo Sugaya, Yuichi Yamamoto Common Learning and Cooperation in Repeated Games
19-007 Carlos Segura-Rodriguez Higher Order Information Complementarities and Polarization
19-006 Carlos Segura-Rodriguez Selling Data
19-005 Annie Liang, Xiaosheng Mu, Vasilis Syrgkanis Dynamically Aggregating Diverse Information
19-004 Omer Faruk Koru Automation and Top Income Inequality
19-003 Andrew Shephard Marriage market dynamics, gender, and the age gap
19-002 Markos Epitropou, Rakesh Vohra Dynamic Mechanisms with Verification
19-001 George J. Mailath, Larry Samuelson The Wisdom of a Confused Crowd: Model-Based Inference
18-029 V. Bhaskar, George J. Mailath The Curse of Long Horizons
18-028 Yuichi Yamamoto Stochastic Games with Hidden States, Fifth version
18-027 Andrew Postlewaite, David Schmeidler The Hurwicz Program, Past and Suggestions for the Future
18-026 Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler What Are Axiomatizations Good For?
18-025 Hanming Fang, Ami Ko Partial Rating Area Offering in the ACA Marketplaces: Facts, Theory and Evidence
18-024 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Lee Ohanian The Lack of European Productivity Growth: Causes and Lessons for the U.S.
18-023 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde Cryptocurrencies: A Crash Course in Digital Monetary Economics
18-022 S. Nageeb Ali , Aislinn Bohren Should Straw Polls be Banned?
18-021 Patrick DeJarnette, David Dillenberger, Daniel Gottlieb, Pietro Ortoleva Time Lotteries and Stochastic Impatience
18-020 David Dillenberger, Daniel Gottlieb, Pietro Ortoleva Stochastic Impatience and the Separation of Time and Risk Preferences
18-019 Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, David Dillenberger, Pietro Ortoleva An Explicit Representation for Disappointment Aversion and Other Betweenness Preferences
18-018 Pablo D'Erasmo, Enrique G. Mendoza History Remembered: Optimal Sovereign Default on Domestic and External Debt
18-017 Aislinn Bohren, Daniel Hauser Social Learning with Model Misspeciification: A Framework and a Robustness Result
18-016 Aislinn Bohren, Alex Imas, Michael Rosenberg The Dynamics of Discrimination: Theory and Evidence
18-015 Aislinn Bohren Using Persistence to Generate Incentives in a Dynamic Moral Hazard Problem
18-014 Francis X. Diebold, Minchul Shin Machine Learning for Regularized Survey Forecast Combination: Partially Egalitarian Lasso and its Derivatives
18-013 Ross Askanazi, Francis X. Diebold, Frank Schorfheide, Minchul Shin On the Comparison of Interval Forecasts