Paper Number Author Title
24-032 Aislinn Bohren, Daniel Hauser Behavioral Foundations of Model Misspecification
24-031 Aislinn Bohren, Josh Hascher, Alex Imas, Michael Ungeheuer, Martin Weber A Cognitive Foundation for Perceiving Uncertainty
24-030 Cuimin Ba, Aislinn Bohren, Alex Imas Over- and Underreaction to Information
24-029 Jere R. Behrman, Ricardo Gomez-Carrera, Susan W. Parker, Petra Todd, Weilong Zhang Starting Strong: Medium- and Longer-run Benefits of Mexico's Universal Preschool Mandate
24-028 Siyu Bie, Francis X. Diebold, Jingyu He, Junye Li Machine Learning and the Yield Curve: Tree-Based Macroeconomic Regime Switching
24-027 Ivan Luzardo-Luna, Meredith M. Paker Economic Relief in Recession: Poverty and Unemployment Benefits During the Great Depression in Britain
24-026 Krishna Dasaratha, Santosh S. Venkatesh, Rakesh Vohra Optimal Bailouts in Diversified Financial Networks
24-025 Thanh Nguyen, Rakesh Vohra Persuasion, Posteriors & Polymatroids
24-024 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde , Kenneth T. Gillingham, Simon Scheidegger Climate Change through the Lens of Macroeconomic Modeling
24-023 Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig Shaping Inequality and Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty: Free College or Better Schools
24-022 Dirk Krueger, Egor Malkov, Fabrizio Perri How Do Households Respond to Income Shocks?
24-021 Dirk Krueger, Harald Uhlig Neoclassical Growth with Limited Commitment
24-020 Dirk Krueger, Fulin Li, Harald Uhlig Neoclassical Growth Transition Dynamics with One-Sided Commitment
24-019 Mahdi Ebrahimi Kahou, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde , Sebastian Gomez-Cardona, Jesse Perla, Jan Rosa Spooky Boundaries at a Distance: Inductive Bias, Dynamic Models, and Behavioral Macro
24-018 Naoki Aizawa, Hanming Fang, Katsuhiro Komatsu Labor Unions and Social Insurance
24-017 Yi Chen, Hanming Fang, Yi Zhao, Zibo Zhao Recovering Overlooked Information in Categorical Variables with LLMs: An Application to Labor Market Mismatch
24-016 Thorsten Drautzburg, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde , Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, Dick Oosthuizen Filtering with Limited Information
24-015 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde , Tomohide Mineyama, Dongho Song Are We Fragmented Yet? Measuring Geopolitical Fragmentation and Its Causal Effects
24-014 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde , Carlos Sanz Classical Right, New Right, and Voting Behavior: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment
24-013 Xu Cheng, Eric Renault, Paul Sangrey Identifying the Volatility Risk Price Through the Leverage Effect
24-012 Yoshiki Ando Dynamics of High-Growth Young Firms and the Role of Venture Capitalists
24-011 Justine Herve, Subha Mani, Jere R. Behrman, Ramanan Laxminarayan Food Coma is Real: The Effect of Digestive Fatigue on Adolescents’ Cognitive Performance
24-010 Francis X. Diebold, Glenn Rudebusch Climate Models Underestimate the Sensitivity of Arctic Sea Ice to Carbon Emissions
24-009 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde , Oren Levintal The Distributional Effects of Asset Returns
24-008 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde , Yang Yu, Francesco Zanetti Technological Synergies, Heterogeneous Firms, and Idiosyncratic Volatility
24-007 Rodolfo G. Campos, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde , Galo Nuno, Peter Paz Navigating by Falling Stars: Monetary Policy with Fiscally Driven Natural Rates
24-006 David Dillenberger, Uzi Segal Allocation Mechanisms with Mixture-Averse Preferences
24-005 Effrosyni Adamopoulou, Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner The Household Equipment Revolution
24-004 Milena Almagro, Felipe Barbieri, Juan Camilo Castillo, Nathaniel Hickok, Tobias Salz Optimal Urban Transportation Policy: Evidence from Chicago
24-003 Minsu Chang, Frank Schorfheide On the E ects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income and Consumption Heterogeneity
24-002 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde , Gustavo Ventura, Wen Yao The Wealth of Working Nations
24-001 Xiwen Bai, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde , Yiliang Li, Francesco Zanetti The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory
23-021 Shireen AlAzzawi, Hai-Anh Dang, Vladimir Hlasny, Kseniya Abanokova, Jere R. Behrman Female headship and poverty in the Arab region: Analysis of trends and dynamics based on a new typology
23-020 Farhan Majid, Jere R. Behrman, Hanna Wang Minimum Wages and Intergenerational Health
23-019 John Knowles, Andrew Postlewaite Future Orientedness
23-018 Richard McLean, Ichiro Obara, Andrew Postlewaite Uniformly Strict Equilibrium for Repeated Games with Private Monitoring and Communication
23-017 Hyungsik Roger Moon, Frank Schorfheide, Boyuan Zhang Bayesian Estimation of Panel Models under Potentially Sparse Heterogeneity
23-016 Xu Cheng, Frank Schorfheide, Peng Shao Clustering for Multi-Dimensional Heterogeneity with an Application to Production Function Estimation
23-015 Joachim Hubmer, Pascual Restrepo Not a Typical Firm: Capital-Labor Substitution and Firms' Labor Shares
23-014 Hanming Fang, Ming Li, Zenan Wu, Yapei Zhang Reluctant Entrepreneurs: Evidence from China’s SOE Reform
23-013 Akihisa Kato, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull A Protocol for Repeated Bargaining
23-012 Xavier Mateos-Planas, Sean McCrary, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, Adrien Wicht Commitment in the Canonical Sovereign Default Model
23-011 Vincenzo Quadrini, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull International tax competition with rising intangible capital and financial globalization
23-010 Xu Cheng, Alejandro Sanchez-Becerra, Andrew Shephard How to Weight in Moments Matching: A New Approach and Applications to Earnings Dynamics
23-009 Tatiana Daddario, Richard McLean, Andrew Postlewaite An Assignment Problem with Interdependent Valuations and Externalities
23-008 Richard McLean, Andrew Postlewaite Information Requirements for Mechanism Design
23-007 Aislinn Bohren, Daniel Hauser Behavioral Foundations of Model Misspecification
23-006 Harold L. Cole, Thomas F. Cooley Rating Agencies
23-005 Eugenia Andreasen, Sofıa Bauducco, Evangelina Dardati, Enrique G. Mendoza Beware the Side Effects: Capital Controls, Trade, Misallocation andWelfare
23-004 Franz Hamann, Juan Camilo Mendez-Vizcaino, Enrique G. Mendoza, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria Natural Resources and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies: A Curse and a Blessing