Working Papers

Paper Number Author Title
12-037 Francis X. Diebold On the Origin(s) and Development of the Term “Big Data
12-036 David Dillenberger, Philipp Sadowski Generalized Partition and Subjective Filtration
12-035 Francis X. Diebold Comparing Predictive Accuracy, Twenty Years Later: A Personal Perspective on the Use and Abuse of Diebold-Mariano Tests
12-034 David Dillenberger, Philipp Sadowski, Juan Lleras, Norio Takeoka A Theory of Subjective Learning
12-033 Yena Park Optimal Taxation in a Limited Commitment Economy
12-032 Qingmin Liu, George J. Mailath, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson Matching with Incomplete Information
12-031 David Dillenberger, Andrew Postlewaite, Kareen Rozen Optimism and Pessimism with Expected Utility, Second Version
12-030 Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler Economic Models as Analogies, Second Version
12-029 David Dillenberger, Kareen Rozen History-Dependent Risk Attitude, Second Version
12-028 Shamena Anwar, Hanming Fang Testing for Racial Prejudice in the Parole Board Release Process: Theory and Evidence
12-027 Olivier Compte, Andrew Postlewaite Belief Formation, Second Version
12-026 Francesco Decarolis Pricing and Incentives in Publicly Subsidized Health Care Markets: The Case of Medicare Part D
12-025 Can Tian Riskiness Choice and Endogenous Productivity Dispersion over the Business Cycle
12-024 Fei Li, Can Tian Directed Search and Job Rotation
12-023 Francesc Dilme, Fei Li Dynamic Education Signaling with Dropout
12-022 Mikhail Golosov, Pricila Maziero, Guido Menzio Taxation and Redistribution of Residual Income Inequality
12-021 David Dillenberger, Uzi Segal Recursive Ambiguity and Machina’s Examples
12-020 Fei Chen, Francis X. Diebold, Frank Schorfheide A Markov-Switching Multi-Fractal Inter-Trade Duration Model, with Application to U.S. Equities
12-019 Maciej Kotowski, Fei Li On the Continuous Equilibria of Affiliated-Value, All-Pay Auctions with Private Budget Constraints
12-018 Arthur Lewbel Identification and Estimation of Games with Incomplete Information Using Excluded Regressors, Second Version
12-017 Andriy Norets Semiparametric Inference in Dynamic Binary Choice Models, Second Version
12-016 Hanming Fang Inference of Bidders’ Risk Attitudes in Ascending Auctions with Endogenous Entry, Second Version
12-015 Seth Richards-Shubik Peer Effects in Sexual Initiation: Separating Demand and Supply Mechanisms
12-014 Mark Hugett, Greg Kaplan The Money Value of a Man
12-013 Chao Fu Equilibrium Tuition, Applications, Admissions and Enrollment in the College Market
12-012 Francesc Dilme Dynamic Quality Signaling with Moral Hazard
12-011 Francesc Dilme Cooperation in Large Societies
12-010 Yochanan Shachmurove , Reuel Shinnar Do Chemical Reactors Hold the Solution for Global Economic Crises?
12-009 Emel Kahya, Andrei Nikiforov, Yochanan Shachmurove , Uzi Yaari Consistent Valuation Cash Flow
12-008 George J. Mailath, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson Premuneration Values and Investments in Matching Markets
12-007 David Dillenberger, Philipp Sadowski Subjective Learning, Second Version
12-006 Hanming Fang, Edward Kung Why Do Life Insurance Policyholders Lapse? The Roles of Income, Health and Bequest Motive Shocks
12-005 Yuichi Yamamoto Characterizing Belief-Free Review-Strategy Equilibrium Payoffs under Conditional Independence
12-004 Mitchell Kellman, Yochanan Shachmurove The Ability to Adapt and Overcome Obstacles: Machinery Exports of Poland
12-003 V. Bhaskar, George J. Mailath, Stephen Morris A Foundation for Markov Equilibria with Finite Social Memory
12-002 Guido Menzio, Irina Telyukova, Ludo Visschers Directed Search over the Life Cycle
12-001 Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler Economic Models as Analogies
11-042 David Dillenberger, Philipp Sadowski Models of Subjective Learning
11-041 Vikesh Amin, Jere R. Behrman Do More-Schooled Women have Fewer Children and Delay Childbearing? Evidence from a Sample of U.S. Twins
11-040 Fei Li Efficient Learning, Job Turnover and Wage Dispersion
11-039 Chong Huang Defending Against Speculative Attacks: Reputation, Learning, and Coordination
11-038 Ufuk Akcigit, Qingmin Liu The Role of Information in Competitive Experimentation
11-037 Torben Andersen, Tim Bollerslev, Peter Christoffersen, Francis X. Diebold Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management
11-036 David Dillenberger, Andrew Postlewaite, Kareen Rozen Optimism and Pessimism with Expected Utility
11-035 Antonio Merlo Identification and Estimation of Stochastic Bargaining Models, Fourth Version
11-034 Karsten Jeske, Dirk Krueger, Kurt Mitman Housing and the Macroeconomy: The Role of Bailout Guarantees for Government Sponsored Enterprises
11-033 Aureo de Paula, Gil Shapira, Petra Todd How Beliefs about HIV Status Affect Risky Behaviors: Evidence from Malawi, Seventh Version
11-032 Jere R. Behrman, Susan Parker The Impact of the PROGRESA/Oportunidades Conditional Cash Transfer Program on Health and Related Outcomes for the Aging in Mexico
11-031 Francis X. Diebold, Kamil Yilmaz On the Network Topology of Variance Decompositions: Measuring the Connectedness of Financial Firms
11-030 Fatih Karahan, Serdar Ozkan On the Persistence of Income Shocks over the Life Cycle: Evidence, Theory, and Implications, Second Version