Working Papers

Paper Number Author Title
14-034 Marco Del Negro, Raiden Hasegawa, Frank Schorfheide Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance
14-033 Aislinn Bohren Stochastic Games in Continuous Time: Persistent Actions in Long-Run Relationships, Second Version
14-032 Sarah Baird, Aislinn Bohren, Craig McIntosh, Berk Ozler Designing Experiments to Measure Spillover Effects
14-031 Gloria Allione Mass attrition: An analysis of drop out from a Principles of Microeconomics MOOC
14-030 Thanh Nguyen, Ahmad Peivandi, Rakesh Vohra One-Sided Matching with Limited Complementarities
14-029 Selman Erol, Rakesh Vohra Network Formation and Systemic Risk
14-028 Thanh Nguyen, Rakesh Vohra Near Feasible Stable Matchings with Complementarities
14-027 Yanhao Wei The Network Effects of Air-Travel Demand
14-026 Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler A Model of Modeling
14-025 Gary Gorton, Guillermo Ordonez How Central Banks End Crises
14-024 Helios Herrera, Guillermo Ordonez, Christoph Trebesch POLITICAL BOOMS, FINANCIAL CRISES
14-023 Harold L. Cole, Soojin Kim, Dirk Krueger Analyzing the Effects of Insuring Health Risks: On the Trade-off between Short Run Insurance Benefits vs. Long Run Incentive Costs
14-022 Tri Vi Dang, Gary Gorton, Bengt Holmstrom, Guillermo Ordonez Banks as Secret Keepers
14-021 Francesc Dilme Cooperation in Large Societies, Second Version
14-020 Clement Joubert Pension design with a large informal labor market: Evidence from Chile
14-019 Francesc Dilme Dynamic Quality Signaling with Hidden Actions
14-018 Xu Cheng Uniform Inference in Nonlinear Models with Mixed Identification Strength
14-017 Dongho Song Bond Market Exposures to Macroeconomic and Monetary Policy Risks
14-016 Product Upgrades and Posted Prices
14-015 Hans Holter, Dirk Krueger, Serhiy Stepanchuk How Does Tax Progressivity and Household Heterogeneity Affect Laffer Curves?
14-014 Francesc Dilme, Fei Li Dynamic Education Signaling with Dropout Risk, Third Version
14-013 Kurt Mitman, Stanislav Rabinovich Unemployment Benefit Extensions Caused Jobless Recoveries!?
14-012 Rong Hai, Andrew Postlewaite, Dirk Krueger On the Welfare Cost of Consumption Fluctuations in the Presence of Memorable Goods, Second Version
14-010 Norbert Schady, Jere R. Behrman, Maria Araujo, Rodrigo Azuero, Raquel Bernal, David Bravo, Florencia Lopez-Boo, Karen Macours, Daniela Marshall, Christina Paxson, Renos Vakis Wealth Gradients in Early Childhood Cognitive Development in Five Latin American Countries
14-009 Guido Menzio, Nicholas Trachter Large and Small Sellers: A Theory of Equilibrium Price Dispersion with Sequential Search
14-008 Gary Gorton, Guillermo Ordonez Crises and Productivity in Good Booms and in Bad Booms
14-007 Aislinn Bohren Informational Herding with Model Misspecification
14-006 Sarah Baird, Aislinn Bohren, Craig McIntosh, Berk Ozler Designing Experiments to Measure Spillover Effects
14-005 Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, David Dillenberger, Pietro Ortoleva Cautious Expected Utility and the Certainty Effect
14-004 Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit, Murat Celik Young, Restless and Creative: Openness to Disruption and Creative Innovations
14-003 Hulya Eraslan, Antonio Merlo Some Unpleasant Bargaining Arithmetic?
14-002 Greg Kaplan, Guido Menzio The Morphology of Price Dispersion
14-001 Maciej Kotowski, Fei Li On the Continuous Equilibria of Affiliated-Value, All-Pay Auctions with Private Budget Constraints, Third Version
13-071 Rong Hai The Determinants of Rising Inequality in Health Insurance and Wages, Second Version
13-070 Francis X. Diebold, Kamil Yilmaz Measuring the Dynamics of Global Business Cycle Connectedness
13-069 Ufuk Akcigit, Murat Celik, Jeremy Greenwood Buy, Keep or Sell: Economic Growth and the Market for Ideas
13-068 David Dillenberger, Andrew Postlewaite, Kareen Rozen Optimism and Pessimism with Expected Utility, Fourth Version
13-067 David Dillenberger, Juan Lleras, Philipp Sadowski, Norio Takeoka A Theory of Subjective Learning, Third Version
13-066 David Dillenberger, Uzi Segal Skewed Noise
13-065 David Abrams, Ufuk Akcigit, Jillian Popadak Patent Value and Citations: Creative Destruction or Strategic Disruption?
13-064 Minchul Shin, Molin Zhong Does realized volatility help bond yield density prediction?
13-063 Francesc Dilme Dynamic Quality Signaling with Hidden Actions, Second Version
13-062 Xu Cheng, Zhipeng Liao Select the Valid and Relevant Moments: An Information-Based LASSO for GMM with Many Moments, Second Version
13-061 Xu Cheng, Bruce Hansen Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Regression: A Frequentist Model Averaging Approach, Second Version
13-060 George J. Mailath, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson Premuneration Values and Investments in Matching Markets
13-059 Frank Schorfheide, Kenneth I. Wolpin To Hold Out or Not to Hold Out
13-058 Yonghong An Identifying Structural Models of Committee Decisions with Heterogeneous Tastes and Ideological Bias
13-057 Mian Dai Regulation and Capacity Competition in Health Care: Evidence from Dialysis Markets
13-056 Hanming Fang Inference of Bidders’ Risk Attitudes in Ascending Auctions with Endogenous Entry
13-055 Antonio Merlo, Aureo de Paula Identification and Estimation of Preference Distributions When Voters Are Ideological, Second Version