• 

  Causal Gradient Boosting: Boosted Instrumental Variable Regression

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  Bank capital constraints, lending supply and economic activity

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  Data Disciplining Theory: Arctic Sea Ice Projections, 1980-2100

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  Time-Varying Parameters: A Machine Learning Approach

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  Two-Steps Sieve M-Estimation with Group Heterogeneity, with Application to Production Function

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  On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities

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  Frequentist Shrinkage under Inequality Constraints

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  Macro-Finance Decoupling: Robust Evaluations of Macro Asset Pricing Models

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  Network peer effects with selection into treatment: Reevaluating microfinance adoption in India

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  Asset Returns and Macro Risks in the Long-run: A Low-Frequency Econometrics Analysis

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  Forecasting as a Robust Decision: Local Asymptotic Evaluation

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  Risk and Optimal Policies in Bandit Experiments

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  Inference for Heterogeneous Effects Using Low-Rank Estimation of Factor Slopes

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  Jumps, Realized Densities, and News Premia

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  Forecasting with Prior Wisdom on Group Structure