Paper Number Author Title
21-002 Francis X. Diebold, Minchul Shin, Boyuan Zhang On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone Inflation and Real Interest Rates
21-001 Xiaoying Liu, Jere R. Behrman, Emily Hannum, Fan Wang, Qingguo Zhao Same environment, stratified impacts? Air pollution, extreme temperatures, and birth weight in Southeast China
20-041 Enrique G. Mendoza, Eugenio Rojas, Linda L. Tesar, Jing Zhang A Macroeconomic Model of Healthcare Saturation, Inequality & the Output-Pandemia Tradeoff
20-040 Roberto Mariano, Suleyman Ozmucur Fighting COVID-19: Performance of Countries in the First Half of 2020
20-039 Frank Schorfheide, Dongho Song Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic
20-038 Timothy Christensen, Hyungsik Roger Moon, Frank Schorfheide Robust Forecasting
20-037 S. Boragan Aruoba, Pablo Cuba-Borda, Kenji Higa-Flores, Frank Schorfheide, Sergio Villalvazo Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints
20-036 Hanming Fang, Zenan Wu Consumer Vulnerability and Behavioral Biases
20-035 Hanming Fang, Chunmian Ge, Hanwei Huang, Hongbin Li Pandemics, Global Supply Chains, and Local Labor Demand: Evidence from 100 Million Posted Jobs in China
20-034 Roberto Mariano, Suleyman Ozmucur Lawrence R. Klein’s Principles in Modeling and Contributions in Nowcasting, Real-Time Forecasting, and Machine Learning
20-033 Helios Herrera, Maximilian Konradt, Guillermo Ordonez, Christoph Trebesch Corona Politics: The cost of mismanaging pandemics
20-032 Nicola Fuchs-Schundeln, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, Irina Popova The Long-Term Distributional and Welfare Effects of Covid-19 School Closures
20-031 Sekyu Choi, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull Labor Share and Productivity Dynamics
20-030 Satyajit Chatterjee , Dean Corbae, Kyle Dempsey, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull A Quantitative Theory of the Credit Score
20-029 Roberto Mariano, Suleyman Ozmucur Predictive Performance of Mixed-Frequency Nowcasting and Forecasting Models (with Application to Philippine Inflation and GDP Growth)
20-028 Enrique G. Mendoza, Sergio Villalvazo FiPIt: A Simple, Fast Global Method for Solving Models with Two Endogenous States & Occasionally Binding Constraints
20-027 Javier Bianchi, Enrique G. Mendoza A Fisherian Approach to Financial Crises: Lessons from the Sudden Stops Literature
20-026 David Dillenberger, Daniel Gottlieb, Pietro Ortoleva Stochastic Impatience and the Separation of Time and Risk Preferences
20-025 Rong Hai, Dirk Krueger, Andrew Postlewaite On the Welfare Cost of Consumption Fluctuations in the Presence of Memorable Goods
20-024 Vikesh Amin, Jere R. Behrman, Jason M. Fletcher, Carlos A. Flores, Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, Hans-Peter Kohler Genetic Risks, Adolescent Health and Schooling Attainment
20-023 Francis X. Diebold Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession
20-022 Hanming Fang, Long Wang, Yang Yang Competition and Quality: Evidence from High-Speed Railways and Airlines
20-021 David Dillenberger, R. Vijay Krishna, Philipp Sadowski Subjective Information Choice Processes
20-020 David Dillenberger, Collin Raymond Additive-Belief-Based Preferences
20-019 Xu Cheng, Winston Wei Dou, Zhipeng Liao Macro-Finance Decoupling: Robust Evaluations of Macro Asset Pricing Models
20-018 Ashwin Kambhampati, Carlos Segura-Rodriguez The Optimal Assortativity of Teams Inside the Firm
20-017 Shanglyu Deng, Hanming Fang, Qiang Fu, Zenan Wu Confidence Management in Tournaments
20-016 Jorge Alé-Chilet, Juan Pablo Atal, Patricio Domínguez Activity and the incidence of emergencies: Evidence from daily data at the onset of a pandemic
20-015 Dirk Krueger, Harald Uhlig, Taojun Xie Macroeconomic Dynamics and Reallocation in an Epidemic
20-014 Andrew Glover, Jonathan Heathcote, Dirk Krueger, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic
20-013 Christopher Busch, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, Irina Popova, Zainab Iftikhar Should Germany Have Built a New Wall?Macroeconomic Lessons from the 2015-18 Refugee Wave
20-012 Francis X. Diebold, Maximilian Gobel, Philippe Goulet Coulombe, Glenn Rudebusch, Boyuan Zhang Optimal Combination of Arctic Sea Ice Extent Measures: A Dynamic Factor Modeling Approach
20-011 Hanming Fang, Long Wang, Yang Yang Human Mobility Restrictions and the Spread of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China
20-010 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde Simple Rules for a Complex World with Artificial Intelligence
20-009 Juan Pablo Atal, Hanming Fang, Martin Karlsson, Nicolas Ziebarth Long-Term Health Insurance: Theory Meets Evidence
20-008 Hanming Fang, Yongqin Wang, Xian Wu The Collateral Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from China
20-007 Vikesh Amin, Jere R. Behrman, Jason M. Fletcher, Carlos A. Flores, Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, Hans-Peter Kohler Mental Health, Schooling Attainment and Polygenic Scores: Are There Significant Genetic-Environmental Associations
20-006 Paul Anand, Jere R. Behrman, Hai-Anh H. Dang, Sam Jones Does sorting matter for learning inequality? Evidence from East Africa
20-005 Jere R. Behrman, Yuan Hu, Junsen Zhang The Causal Effects of Parents’ Schooling on Children’s Schooling in Urban Chin
20-004 Jere R. Behrman, C. Simon Fan, Xiandong Wei, Hongliang Zhang, Junsen Zhang After-School Tutoring, Household Substitution and Student Achievement: Experimental Evidence from Rural China
20-003 Mark Aguiar, Satyajit Chatterjee , Harold L. Cole, Zachary Stangebye Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises, Revisited
20-002 Harold L. Cole, Dirk Krueger, George J. Mailath, Yena Park Coalition-Proof Risk Sharing Under Frictions
20-001 Francis X. Diebold, Glenn Rudebusch Probability Assessments of an Ice-Free Arctic: Comparing Statistical and Climate Model Projections
19-020 Juan Pablo Atal Lock-in in Dynamic Health Insurance Contracts: Evidence from Chile
19-019 Hanming Fang, Andrew Shephard Household Labor Search, Spousal Insurance, and Health Care Reform
19-018 George J. Mailath, Larry Samuelson Learning under Diverse World Views: Model-Based Inference
19-017 Juan Pablo Atal, Jose Ignacio Cuesta, Morten Sæthre Quality Regulation and Competition: Evidence from Pharmaceutical Markets
19-016 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Federico Mandelman, Yang Yu, Francesco Zanetti Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy
19-015 Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Samuel Hurtado, Galo Nuno Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution
19-014 Michael Cai, Marco Del Negro, Edward Herbst, Ethan Matlin, Reca Sarfati, Frank Schorfheide Online Estimation of DSGE Models