Deciding Between I(0) and I(1) via FLIL-based Bounds

We construct properly scaled functions of Rp-valued partial sums of demeaned data and derive bounds via the functional law of the iterated logarithm for strong mixing processes. If we obtain a value below or equal to the bound we decide in favor of I(0); otherwise we decide in favor of I(1). This provides a consistent rule for classifying time series as being I(1) or I(0). The nice feature of the procedure lies in the almost sure nature of the bound, guaranteeing a lim sup–type result. We finally provide conditions for the strong consistency of estimators of the variance in the dependent and heterogeneous case. The finite sample behavior of the procedure is analyzed via Monte Carlo simulations.

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Paper Number
97-027
Year
1997
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