Economics: Between Prediction and Criticism, Second Version

We suggest that one way in which economic analysis is useful is by offering a critique of reasoning. According to this view, economic theory may be useful not only by providing predictions, but also by pointing out weaknesses of arguments. It is argued that, when a theory requires a non-trivial act of interpretation, its roles in producing predictions and offering critiques vary in a substantial way. We offer a formal model in which these different roles can be captured.

Information

Paper Number: 16-004

Paper Year: 2016

Authors:

Itzhak Gilboa
Andrew Postlewaite
Larry Samuelson
David Schmeidler